Scholarly success is traditionally measured in terms of citations to publications. With the advent of publication man- agement and digital libraries on the web, scholarly usage data has become a target of investigation and new impact metrics computed on such usage data have been proposed – so called altmetrics. In scholarly social bookmarking sys- tems, scientists collect and manage publication meta data and thus reveal their interest in these publications. In this work, we investigate connections between usage metrics and citations, and find posts, exports, and page views of publications to be correlated to citations.

Applications of the Social Web are ubiquitous and have become an integral part of everyday life: Users make friends, for example, with the help of online social networks, share thoughts via Twitter, or collaboratively write articles in Wikipedia. All such interactions leave digital traces; thus, users participate in the creation of heterogeneous, distributed, collaborative data collections. In linguistics, the

When users interact with the Web today, they leave sequential digital trails
a massive scale. Examples of such human trails include Web navigation,
quences of online restaurant reviews, or online music play lists.
derstanding the factors that drive the production of these trails can be
eful for e.g., improving underlying network structures, predicting user
icks or enhancing recommendations. In this work, we present a general
proach called HypTrails for comparing a set of hypotheses about human trails
the Web, where hypotheses represent beliefs about transitions between
ates. Our approach utilizes Markov chain models with Bayesian inference. The
in idea is to incorporate hypotheses as informative Dirichlet priors and to
verage the sensitivity of Bayes factors on the prior for comparing hypotheses
th each other. For eliciting Dirichlet priors from hypotheses, we present an
aption of the so-called (trial) roulette method. We demonstrate the general
chanics and applicability of HypTrails by performing experiments with (i)
nthetic trails for which we control the mechanisms that have produced them
d (ii) empirical trails stemming from different domains including website
vigation, business reviews and online music played. Our work expands the
pertoire of methods available for studying human trails on the Web.